Lessons Learned in 2010

Written by Ash Maurya

To recap the story so far: I have been an entrepreneur for the last 8+ years – self-funded the first 2 years and bootstrapped the last 6+ years. Throughout that time I’ve been in search for a better way to build *successful* products. I’ve tried building in stealth, release-early-release-often, open sourcing, less is more, more is more…

I came across Customer Development/Lean Startup late last year and have been applying it to my products. I was particularly attracted to the engineering focus to marketing and the strong emphasis on building customer feedback loops throughout the product development cycle.

Fast forwarding to the present: I just sold my 8+ year old company and am in the process of starting up a new one. I didn’t make this decision lightly and attribute it in large part to my learning over the last year:

The Fallacy of Metrics

There is a lot of emphasis on metrics in a Lean Startup, but when you first launch, you have very little to no traffic. You can’t rely on techniques like split testing or metrics alone to lead the way. First, you wouldn’t be able to afford waiting for statistically significant results, but more importantly metrics only tell you what’s going wrong, not why. You need to talk to people for that. The best way to validate hypotheses is in two phases: First Qualitatively, Then Quantitatively.

The Fallacy of Customer Development

Unless you are building a business (like Enterprise software) where the primary channel to customers is through direct sales, customer development is NOT a scalable way to reach customers. Instead, Customer Development is a form of qualitative learning and while it’s the fastest way to learn from customers, that alone may not be enough. The biggest challenge most web applications face is building a significant path to customers. Rather than going through customer discovery, customer validation, and then tackle customer creation, which can take months, I find it critical to start building and testing “significant enough” paths to customers much sooner.

Content Marketing Works

One way to build and test a significant path to customers is through content marketing. Content marketing is built on three pillars of inbound marketing – great content, SEO, and social media. Done well, content marketing can actually help fuel and complement the Customer Development process. 37signals, Gary Vaynerchuck, Dharmesh Shah, and David Garland are all examples of brilliant content marketing at work.

Speed, Learning, AND Focus

Lean Startups are built around the Build/Measure/Learn validated learning loop and Eric Ries stresses the importance of speed through the loop. But something that doesn’t get as much attention is focus which is best epitomized by Bijoy Goswami as: Right Action, Right Time.

Speed and Learning alone can lead to pre-mature optimization which is a form of waste. You need all three – Speed, Learning, and Focus, to build an optimal learning loop.

Lean Startup is a Rigorous Process

Much like Agile gets reduced to a collection of techniques like pair programming, stand-ups, etc., Lean Startup gets reduced to a collection of techniques like split testing, continuous deployment, etc. Not all techniques apply to every environment (or stage of company) but more importantly you can’t simply cherry pick a few and call yourself Lean. The terrain before Product/Market fit is riddled with qualitative learning which makes it more challenging to reduce these principles to practice. Ironically this is also the time when startups need the most guidance.

Document your Plan A

The biggest challenge especially during the early stages is documenting your hypotheses, measuring progress, and communicating your learning. The best way I found for doing all these is through the use of a one-page Lean Canvas format. Lean Canvas is my adaptation of Alex Osterwalder’s Business Model Canvas for Lean Startups.

Having More Passion for the Solution is a Problem

When I started my last company 8 years ago, I imposed a rule on myself of not going into debt or missing payroll as the condition to running my own company which has served me well. Even though I founded the company around a strong vision that was too early to market, year after year, I’ve been able to incrementally refine my Plan A without running out of resources. But at a cost. Binding yourself early to a solution limits your flexibility to pivot. The last year has been instrumental in finding the right positioning and market for the technology but it’s neither a market I am qualified to address nor one I am that passionate about. I believe you need the latter before you can do justice to the former.

Customers, Customers, Customers

Customers hold the key to success and sometimes all you need is just one customer. A single customer found me 5 years ago and helped bootstrap my company. The same customer just bought all the technology assets of the company. The timing was just right. He had been licensing the technology for a music-based product and I was looking for someone to carry the torch forward from here. He just closed an A round, and jumped at the opportunity.

The Year Ahead

The main reason I started blogging was that I had more questions than answers. While the Lean Startup/Customer Development principles resonated strongly with me, I found it hard to directly apply the techniques Eric Ries and Steve Blank were describing because they were coming from either a more mature “Lean Startup” (IMVU) or a very different type of business (Enterprise software).

My analytical mind needed something more. I wanted a repeatable, actionable process for building web applications – one that raised the odds for success while minimizing on waste.

I used my last product as a testing ground for a lot of techniques. Finding a systematic process for building a web application slowly became as much of the focus as building my product. I still remember the day after I posted my first blog post. Sasha (my wife) asked me what I’d keep writing about. I had no idea. But week after week, month after month, there has been a lot to say, learn, and share. Thanks to your encouragement, I have almost finished a book, launched a business model validation tool, and found a problem I’m really passionate about solving that is worth solving.

Much like hitting the reset button on my last blog was the best thing I did, I believe closing the chapter on my last company will prove to be the “right” decision too.

Whatever happens, I will continue sharing my journey with you right here…
Thank you for bringing 2010 to a great end.

Happy Holidays!



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  • http://www.flowtown.com Dan Martell

    Ash, just wanted to say thanks for all the great ideas and blog post this past year … it’s great to see your thinking aligning with mine. Oh, and I think you made the right decision in regards to selling your company and starting a new one with a fresh perspective. Excited to see what you build (and how you do it!).

    Happy Holidays.

    Dan

    [Reply]

    Ash Maurya Reply:

    Thanks Dan – Excited to see what you guys come out with too…

    Best.

    [Reply]

  • http://skotzko.com AndrewSkotzko

    Ash,

    Thanks so much for sharing all your insights and learnings with us! Very excited for you and this new chapter!

    Happy Holidays to you & yours–
    Andrew

    [Reply]

    Ash Maurya Reply:

    Thanks Andrew!

    [Reply]

  • http://www.skmurphy.com/ skmurphy

    Even for B2B startups Customer Development is not a way to scale your sales effort, but it is very useful for market exploration, finding early customers, and validating your niche selection with early revenue. I think you are conflating targeting & niche selection with scaling sales. Customer development normally only works for finding a few customers at a time, but attempting to scale too early with a poor map of your target prospect/market normally does not work at all.

    [Reply]

    Ash Maurya Reply:

    I agree that the initial focus needs to be learning and not optimization.

    Let me restate my position this way:

    If you are a B2B startup that intends to use direct sales, the learning from customer development can more easily be translated into a repeatable, scalable sales process.

    If you are a B2B/B2C startup that intends to sell through your site, the learning from customer development is harder to translate into a repeatable, scalable sales process. Even though you might actually sign up early customers during customer validation, selling face to face is very different from selling through a website. Even here, I am not advocating expending effort optimizing user acquisition but rather testing your potential channels of choice so that they can at least drive enough traffic to support ongoing learning.

    [Reply]

    skmurphy Reply:

    I agree with you that the founders’ understanding of how to reach viable prospects is a crucial component to success that many startups overlook, or at least defer engineering in favor of product development. And to your point it’s not just message but media that can deliver a reliable audience or lead stream for your budget.

    I think B2B and B2c overlap quite a bit: a B2B startup has to debug messaging and media to the extent that they can either initiate or respond to inquiries.

    Your list for 2010 is a very useful summary of some of the key dynamics that founding teams need to balance.

    My sense is that both Ostwerwald’s Business Model Canvs and your Lean Canvas elaboration of it are useful for understanding how a successful startup works, but neither really capture the “system of simultaneous equations” that a startup team must solve to find a viable location in a market space. I don’t say this because I have anything better to suggest, just that of everything you have outlined it seems like it has the farthest to go to be actionable.

    [Reply]

    Ash Maurya Reply:

    Sure – point taken… I think the quest for a “system of simultaneous equations” that govern startups is like finding a “grand unified theory” for entrepreneurship. A lot of progress has been made but it’s still early.

    In defense of Lean Canvas/Business Model Canvas, yes by itself it’s pretty bare, but in combination with dashboarding and metrics I believe it can potentially parallel the function balance sheets/income statements serve for more establish companies. We’ll have to see if that hypothesis holds up over time.

    Merry Christmas Sean!

    skmurphy Reply:

    I am less interested in a “Grand Unified Theory” and more interested in representing the connectedness of the decisions: target customer, key benefits, key features, etc… I don’t get that from the Canvas models.

    I think your analogy to balance sheets and income statements is apt. Benefits for a target customer are a function of functionality/features. How you describe the benefits is a function of the target customer, both their needs and how they would talk about the problem you solve for them.

  • http://www.twitter.com/aainslie Alexander Ainslie (@AAinslie)

    Hi Ash & Bonjour from Paris,

    Thanks for sharing your experiences and thoughts this past year. I sure learned a lot.

    All the best on your new venture.

    –Alexander.

    [Reply]

    Ash Maurya Reply:

    Merci Alexander!

    [Reply]

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  • http://twitter.com/WadeFoster Wade Foster

    Ash,

    I stumbled on your blog late in 2010. Just wanted to say thanks for sharing all your wisdom with the rest of us. It’s good to hear how other startups are tackling customer development and lean startups in practice.

    Wade

    [Reply]

    Ash Maurya Reply:

    Thanks for reading!

    [Reply]

  • http://blog.nextblitz.com gzino

    Great post – the speed, learning, focus venn resonates with my experience. I blog about startups at times – if I can use that venn, then do I attribute to you, Eric, Bijoy or someone else?

    [Reply]

    Ash Maurya Reply:

    gzino – the venn diagram is mine.

    Thanks.

    [Reply]

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  • David Siteman Garland

    Ash – Thanks for the mention, appreciate it!

    [Reply]

  • http://twitter.com/jchyip Jason Yip

    The Fallacy of Metrics reminds me of IDEO’s approach to measuring change: http://vimeo.com/14251258

    [Reply]

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